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Sunday, July 26, 2015
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Tuesday, November 06, 2012
Express Rail Link Sdn Bhd (KLIA Express) to be listed?
Saturday, December 11, 2010
Volkswagen VW cars to be assemble in Pahang, Malaysia
DRB-HICOM Bhd is scheduled to sign a definitive agreement on December 21 with Volkswagen AG, Europe's largest carmaker, to assemble VW cars in Malaysia.
The cars will be assembled in Pekan, Pahang, for local and Southeast Asian markets.
"Tentatively, it is scheduled for December 21 with the signing ceremony being held either in the KLCC area or at DRB-HICOM's (1619) operational headquarters in Glenmarie, Shah Alam," said the source.
It is understood that DRB-HICOM's top officials from its automotive divisions are currently abroad for the final leg of negotiations with VW.
In August, DRB-HICOM signed a memorandum of understanding with Germany's VW to assemble and manufacture Volkswagen vehicles in Malaysia.
An agreement with VW will help boost business and raise its profile among investors further. Although a big chunk of income comes from stable businesses like Islamic banking, insurance and power plant maintenance and plans to expand its property unit, its share price is still well below its net asset value of over RM2.
DRB-HICOM shares closed 9 per cent higher at RM1.80 yesterday.
In August, it was reported that minority shareholders voiced their displeasure at the company's annual general meeting over the undervalued shares.
As a result, the company said it plans to beef up investor relations (IR) activity.
"I do understand the anxiety of the shareholders and the public ... the current share price does not reflect the actual value of the company, which is actually worth more," group managing director Datuk Seri Mohd Khamil Jamil reportedly said after the AGM.
Yesterday, HwangDBS initiated coverage on DRB-HICOM with a RM3.55 target price.
The research house said DRB-HICOM is the cheapest conglomerate in the country with a net gearing of 0.3 times.
"With efforts to be more investor-friendly now, we expect a significant re-rating from its bargain basement valuation of 5.5 times 2012 financial year's earnings per share," Hwang said in the report.
The research house added that a key catalyst for DRB-HICOM is the conversion of a letter of intent from the Ministry of Defence for 257 AV 8x8 armoured wheeled vehicles, worth about RM8 billion.
Malaysian Billionaire :
Thursday, July 16, 2009
Amanah Saham Malaysia (ASM) is offering the remaining units from 21st of july 2009 to the 27th!
It has set maximum limit of 20,000 units per account holder
Permodalan Nasional Bhd (PNB) will offer the remaining 1.6 billion Amanah Saham Malaysia (ASM) units, including those initially set aside for bumiputras, for subscription by all Malaysians from July 21.
President and group chief executive Tan Sri Hamad Kama Piah Che Othman said to ensure a fair distribution to the public, a maximum limit of 20,000 units had been set per account holder during the offer period from July 21-27. The limit would be void after the offer period.
“Thereafter, investors can subscribe for the ASM units without any maximum investment limit, depending on the amount of units left.
“Sales of the additional ASM units are based on a first-come, first-served basis,” he told reporters here yesterday.
ASM is an equity-income fund aimed at providing unitholders with a long-term investment opportunity that generates regular and competitive returns through a diversified portfolio of investments.
According to Hamad, the remaining 1.6 billion ASM units are from the 3.33 billion units launched in April.
Of the 3.33 billion units, bumiputra investors were allocated 50%, Chinese 30%, Indians 15% and other races 5%.
However, only the allocated units for the Chinese and Indian investors were fully subscribed and it has now been three months since the fund launch.
“We will continue to hold seminars and talks on the benefits of investing to encourage more bumiputra participation in our unit trust products,” Hamad said.
PNB has confirmed that excluding Amanah Saham Bumiputera, there were some 6.6 billion units that have not been taken up by bumiputra investors.
These are from unit trusts such as ASM, Amanah Saham Wawasan 2020, Amanah Saham Didik, Amanah Saham Nasional dan Amanah Saham Nasional 2.
On the 1Malaysia Unit Trust as proposed by Prime Minister Datuk Seri Najib Razak last week, Hamad said an announcement would be made soon.
Meanwhile, a PNB spokesman said it was not aware of any practices of its agents such as banks on reserving ASM units for selected customers.
“We are not aware of such practices nor do we encourage this,” the spokesman said, referring to the latest ASM annual report which revealed that in the top bracket of unitholders, there were only 296 individuals holding a whopping 264 million units.
This translates into an average of 893,068 units per person.
* On how to make purchase of the ASM unit thrust, you can approach the authorised agents such as Maybank, CIMB, RHB and Pos Malaysia. The satistic of ASM Fund's return.
Thursday, May 21, 2009
EPF takes profit from banking stocks
The Employees Provident Fund (EPF) has taken profit on almost all its banking shareholdings since the start of May with the exception of Public Bank Bhd and AMMB Holdings Bhd.
Analysts said the move was not entirely surprising given the sharp rises in most of the banks share prices over the past few weeks.
AmResearch senior banking analyst Fiona Leong said prices of banking stocks were at a good level in recent times for profit taking since EPF had been accumulating these stocks to its portfolio since December.
ECM Libra, in a latest update, said the profit-taking activity by EPF also explained the slight pause in the share price movement over the last one week, with most share prices trading within the -5% to +5% region for the week.
Despite profit taking, positive sentiment and interest surrounding banking stocks have certainly turned up a notch on the back of expectations that the worst of the recession is over and earlier concerns of widespread loan delinquencies may have been overdone.
“Share prices could continue on their uptrend on returning interest as most stocks are trading at relatively inexpensive valuations,” ECM Libra said.
On the recent results announcement, ECM Libra noted that Bumiputra-Commerce Holdings Bhd (BCHB) continued to register strong growth in its loans book though its overall asset quality had shown some deterioration after the consolidation of CIMB Thai.
“Based on the recent results, it would seem that larger financial institutions, such as Public Bank Bhd and BCHB, are continuing to see decent growth in their loans book while smaller ones, such as Hong Leong Bank Bhd and AMMB Holdings Bhd, are seeing slowdowns, possibly as a conscious decision to protect their balance sheets and capital,” the report added.
Meanwhile, AmResearch’s Leong said the recent results were within expectations except for BCHB, which registered slightly higher net interest margins.
“The general net interest margin contractions registered were due to the recent cuts in OPR (overnight policy rate),” she said.
She added that local banks did not show any significant increase in non-performing loans (NPLs) ratio up till March.
“However, there could be a substantial increase in NPLs by the second quarter of this year,” she said, adding that loans growth were also expected to moderate sharply from 12.8% registered last year.
*Does this means that banking stock has a proven strong record for good profit margin? Should we look at the perspective that banking stock can be a long term high yield stock?
Tuesday, May 05, 2009
Make as much mistake as you can in the stock market? Learn from it...
OMAHA, Nebraska: Billionaire Warren Buffett remains optimistic about the U.S. economy, but he says it's difficult to predict when the recession will end because American consumers changed their behavior significantly.
Berkshire Hathaway's chairman and chief executive conducted several TV interviews Monday after entertaining 35,000 people at his company's shareholders meeting in Omaha over the weekend.
"In the short term, things are going to be tough for a while. We see no real pickup in a whole variety of businesses we have, but they'll be doing fine in a few years," Buffett said Monday in an interview with CNBC.
Among Berkshire's more than 60 subsidiaries, there are furniture, brick, manufactured home, carpet, utility, insurance and jewelry companies, so Buffett gets a good sense of the health of the economy by looking at his internal reports.
On the positive side, Buffett said he sees residential real estate prices stabilizing in important parts of the country like California, although a huge oversupply of houses remains in southern Florida.
And Buffett's long-term outlook for the United States remains rosy.
"I am enormously optimistic about the future of this country over time," Buffett said.
Economists say the recession began in December 2007.
Buffett said the shift in American consumer behavior makes it hard to predict when the economy will recover.
He said many Americans who still have the same jobs, same savings and same homes responded to the financial turmoil by changing their spending and buying habits dramatically.
"I think the American public generally is in a different mood than a year ago or two years ago or three years ago. In fact, I know they are by their buying habits," Buffett said in an interview with Fox Business News.
Also on Monday, a Taiwanese business tycoon criticized an investment Berkshire made in a Chinese battery and car maker that has been accused of stealing trade secrets.
Terry Gou, head of Taiwanese electronics giant Hon Hai Precision Industry Co. Ltd., questioned Buffett's decision to invest in China's BYD Company Ltd. in an interview with a Taiwanese newspaper.
Berkshire officials said they believe the allegations against BYD are unfounded.
Berkshire Vice Chairman Charlie Munger said the allegations made against BYD have already been litigated in a Japanese court and discredited.
Last fall, one of Berkshire's subsidiaries acquired a 9.9 percent stake in BYD, which was valued at $230 million.
At the shareholders meeting Saturday, Buffett and Munger said they believe the U.S. government has generally done the right things to help the economy recover.
Buffett and Berkshire board member Bill Gates reinforced that notion in a joint interview on Monday.
Gates, who co-founded Microsoft, said the $700 billion Troubled Asset Relief Program Congress passed last fall may have been flawed because its designers didn't predict how negative factors would work together, but it was necessary.
"It's not going to be perfect, but they've been doing the right things," Gates said to Fox Business.
"There wasn't anybody to count on except for government in late September."
Gates said he enjoys calling Buffett and talking about what's going on in the economy because of all the turmoil.
Buffett's company did have a rough year in 2008, but Berkshire still beat the S&P 500 index that Buffett measures his performance against.
Berkshire's Class A stock lost 32 percent in 2008, and Berkshire's book value - assets minus liabilities - declined 9.6 percent to $70,530 per share.
That was the biggest drop in book value under Buffett and only the second time its book value has declined.
The Standard & Poor's 500 index fell 37 percent in 2008.
Berkshire reported a 2008 profit of $4.99 billion, or $3,224 per Class A share.
That was down 62 percent from the previous year, but better than many companies. Berkshire plans to release its first-quarter results on Friday afternoon.
* Its diff to predict the buying behaviour of the consumers after a fall in the economy. I would said this is where when ppl don make mistake they wont learn, so make as much mistake as u can as long as u don repeat the mistakes. Same goes with Malaysia stock market, have a quota for yourself and give yourself the guts to buy the stock that you had analysed. If there is a mistake on yr analyst on that stock and you ended up losing money, jz make sure you wont repeat that mistake again.
Tuesday, March 03, 2009
Kumpulan Sentiasa Cemerlang (KSC) says it..
MALAYSIAN fund manager KSC is bullish on consumer stocks such as tobacco company BAT Malaysia and utilities such as YTL Power
due to the dividends they pay, but is steering clear of state-controlled power firm Tenaga Nasional.
Choong Khuat Hock, director of research at Kumpulan Sentiasa Cemerlang (KSC), which manages about US$150 million, told Reuters in an interview the deepening economic crisis boosted the allure of dividend-paying stocks as safe-haven plays.
Food maker Nestle Malaysia, mobile phone company DiGi.com and independent power producer (IPP) Tanjong were also expected to be resilient in a worsening economy, said Choong. But it was a different story with Tenaga, he said.
“The problem for Tenaga is that industrial production and electricity demand have dropped quite a bit. The company is suffering from a fall in electricity demand,” said Choong.
Tenaga, which supplies two-thirds of the country’s electricity needs, must purchase all capacity produced by IPPs regardless of its requirement.
The company swung to a net loss in the first quarter and warned that its financial performance would worsen due to ballooning capacity payments to IPPs.
MORE EARNINGS DOWNGRADES?
KSC currently owns 106,000 shares of Tanjong and 217,000 shares of YTL Corp, according to Thomson One Analytics.
YTL Corp is the parent of YTL Power. Choong declined to comment on what stocks the company is buying or selling.
Malaysian companies finished their reporting season for the October-December quarter last week, where many companies such as No. 2 palm oil producer IOI and builder WCT reported a big drop in net profits due to a surge in customer defaults, provisions and investment writedowns.
JPMorgan said in a report on the quarterly results from 44 Malaysian companies that 39 per cent had reported earnings below expectations.
“The world economy is getting worse, Malaysia is not immune. Going forward, there will be worries about further earnings downgrades,” said Choong.
The fund manager said he does not expect any major surprises from the second stimulus package to be unveiled by Malaysia’s government on March 10.
The second stimulus package is widely expected to be larger than the first one which was put in place last November and worth about US$2 billion.
“I guess they will pump prime, spend more money on infrastructure and they will presumably relax or open up the services sector as well.
But then there is only so much they can do given that our budget deficit is already quite high,” said Choong. - Reuters
Thursday, November 27, 2008
Malaysia's most valuable brands 2008
The Malaysia’s Most Valuable Brands (MMVB) 2008 study, conducted by leading brand consultancy Interbrand, also ranked Public Bank, with a brand value of RM6.8 billion, as Malaysia’s second most valuable brand, followed by CIMB, with a brand value of RM6.3 billion.
The three banks, together with Genting (RM4.5 billion), Parkson (RM4.2 billion), and Celcom (RM3.9 billion), make up the six most valuable brands. All six had a brand value that exceeded US$1 billion (RM3.6 billion) each.
The total brand value of Malaysia’s 30 Most Valuable Brands was RM61.8 billion, up from RM56.6 billion last year. The top 30 brands were honoured at a gala event here last night. The guest of honour, Tan Sri Amirsham Abdul Aziz, Minister in the Prime Minister’s Department, handed out the awards.
“Brand valuation is a step in the right direction. Brands build trust. With the economic situation, branding has become even more important,” said Amirsham.
According to the study, despite a small drop of 3% in value, Maybank still tops the league table. Its acquisition in Indonesia has not affected the results as the study was based on year-end 2007 financials.
Datuk Seri Abdul Wahid Omar, president and CEO of Maybank who received the award last night, said he was happy with the ranking even though the brand value had decreased slightly. “So as we move forward locally, we will aim for the Maybank brand to be recognised, not only in Malaysia, but also in the Southeast Asian region.”
On the other hand, CIMB’s mergers and acquisitions in 2006 and its unifying brand strategy saw its brand value jump 83% to RM6.3 billion from RM3.4 billion last year, the highest increase among the top 30.
“This is a testament to our investment over the last year, We will continue with our long-term strategy as it has proven effective,” said Effendy Shahul Hamid, head of group corporate communications, CIMB Group.
The brand value of DiGi, which moved up one notch from No 10 last year, grew 35% despite a highly competitive and licence-restricted marketplace, said Interbrand in a press release issued yesterday.
Maxis is not in the rankings this year as it has been delisted from Bursa Malaysia. One of the criteria for MMVB is that the brands must be owned by listed companies as the study is based on publicly available information. Brands must also be consumer-facing and Malaysian-owned or originated.
National icon Proton saw the biggest fall in brand value of 37%, causing it to drop from No 23 last year to No 28 this year. The study noted that Perodua’s brand value now stands at more than 15 times that of Proton.
Interbrand’s methodology values brands in the same way that other corporate assets are valued, on the basis of how much the brands are likely to earn for their owners in the future. “Interbrand uses a combination of analysts’ projections, financial reports, and its own analysis to arrive at a net present value of those earnings,” said Interbrand group CEO Jez Frampton.
Interbrand noted that global turbulence roiling the markets had not fully impacted, except for falling margins and the increase in provisioning in general. The brand risk factor has also increased, it added.
4As president Datuk Vincent Lee said the study put Malaysia among the few Asian countries that currently recognised the value of brands as business and economic assets. “It helps the growth of business and celebrates the true heroes of economic value generation, the brand builders of a nation,” he added. Ho Kay Tat, managing director and editor-in-chief of The Edge, said the study “creates a platform for discussing the role of brand-building, ensuring business health and earnings continuity”.
“Through all this (economic turmoil) it has been very clear that brands are a powerful driver of recovery. Fundamentally, brands are there to enable consumers to choose. They mark out one offer from a company from somebody else’s. They are the reason why people will buy, and the reason why people will repurchase. They are a driver of demand,” said Frampton at a press conference earlier.
This year, three new brands made it to the top 30 — Sin Chew (No 27), Jobstreet.com (No 19) and Ogawa (No 29). Jobstreet.com is the first online brand to make it into the list.
Wednesday, July 02, 2008
Inflation likely to hit 6-7pc in June 2008
BASEL (Switzerland): Malaysia’s inflation is likely to have hit six to seven per cent in June and the central bank would take action on monetary policy in the event of generalised price increases, Bank Negara Malaysia Governor said yesterday.
In an interview, Tan Sri Dr Zeti Akhtar Aziz also said that domestic factors, including recent cuts in fuel subsidies, and a slower external economic environment could lower the growth rate below five per cent this year.
Costlier food and energy prices pushed Malaysia’s May inflation to a 22-month high of 3.8 per cent, even before the government raised domestic fuel prices in June.
“We expect inflation to rise, especially in the month of June following one of the adjustments by the government — the reduction in subsidies. Therefore, for the month of June, inflation is likely to be between six and seven per cent,” Zeti said here.
“We will monitor it very closely — whether this results in the pass-through to other consumer items and whether there are any second round effects like wage increases ... And the central bank will be prompted to take action in the event that it becomes a generalised price increase.”
Joining a growing rank of Asian countries unable to maintain hefty subsidies in the face of soaring oil prices, Malaysia raised petrol prices by 41 per cent this month and lifted diesel prices by 63 per cent as part of a broad reform of energy policy to prevent subsidies from eating up a third of its budget.
Zeti said when setting interest rates, Bank Negara had to assess effects of both higher inflation, as well as domestic and external factors moderating growth.
Zeti has said that the central bank had no immediate plan to hike interest rates if inflation tapers in the second half in line with its forecast.
The cost of borrowing has stood at 3.5 per cent — one of Asia’s lowest — for the 17th straight policy-setting meeting.
“Interest rate is an instrument of policy to deal with demand-driven inflation,” Zeti said.
“Our interest-rate policy is forward looking. We will look at what the risks are — upside risks to inflation and downside risk to growth as a result of a slower external environment, and as a result of a moderating impact of higher energy prices.”
Asked if investors were wrongly betting on a possible quarter- or half-point increase in interest rates, Zeti said:
“The market is assessing it, based on a price increase, and it is not wrong to assess that indeed prices are going to increase, based on the adjustment Malaysia has taken.”
Monday, March 10, 2008
KL share market slumped
MALAYSIAN shares plunged 9.5 per cent today in a session marked by a one-hour trading suspension as surprise weekend election results shook the stock market, dealers said.
Trading was halted when the stock market fell 10 per cent during the day, after the Barisan Nasional coalition lost its two-thirds majority in parliament.
It was the biggest decline in a decade, since stocks dived 21 per cent in a single session at the height of the Asian financial crisis in September 1998.
Bursa Malaysia said the stock market was suspended between 2.58 pm and 3.58 pm, when the 10 per cent drop triggered a failsafe.
The losses continued when trading resumed, but by the end of the session the Kuala Lumpur Composite Index had recovered slightly and closed down 123.11 points to 1,173.22.
Yeah Kim Leng, group chief economist with RAM Holdings Bhd, said the dramatic fall, which was also compounded by fears of a US recession, had been much steeper than anticipated.
“I only expected the bourse to dive by five per cent Monday,” he said.
Dealers said there was some element of panic selling but that volume was still manageable and that the selldown was confined to blue chips and big caps.
The worst-hit sectors were construction, services and property.
Declining stocks overwhelmed advancers 905 to 26, with 62 stocks unchanged and 435 counters untraded. Trading volume totalled 1.2 billion shares, valued at RM3.2 billion.
The construction sub-index plunged 15.8 per cent or 40.7 points to 217.41 while the property sub-index dived 9.2 per cent or 77.4 points to 761.93. The services sub-index tumbled 9.7 per cent or 16.94 points at 157.36.
Yeah said the bourse was expected to head south for the next few days but that it would later rebound.
“The Barisan Nasional is still in power and the country’s economic fundamentals remain intact,” he said.
Among construction and property stocks, Malaysian Resources Corp sank 66 sen or 34.0 per cent to RM1.27 and Equine Capital dived 72 sen or 50.4 per cent to 71 sen.
National power company Tenaga tumbled 1.30 sen or 15 per cent to RM7.35, while Telekom Malaysia shed 95 sen or 8.7 per cent to RM9.95.
Tuesday, January 08, 2008
What's wrong with the KLCI?
THE Kuala Lumpur Composite Index (KLCI) may hit the 1,500 points level in first quarter of 2008, supported mainly by buying of heavyweights, particularly plantation stocks, CitiGroup Global Markets Malaysia Sdn Bhd director Choong Wai Kee said today.
“Looking at crude palm oil prices and the current positive sentiment towards the market, particularly election speculation, we cannot rule out that the KLCI may hit 1,500 this quarter,” he told a media briefing on Malaysia’ economic and equity markets outlook for 2008.
The benchmark Composite Index reached 1,487.39 points at 9.34 am today, a fresh all time high to date, beating yesterday’s record high of 1,473.74.
Choong, who is the company’s head of Malaysia Research, said apart from plantation, telecommunication was also a sector driving the gains of Bursa Malaysia shares at present.
Since the listing of Sime Darby in November 2007, the plantation and telecommunication counters had accounted for more than 25 per cent of the CI, he said.
Besides the plantation and telecommunication sectors, the banking sector is also favourable as it will be a beneficiary of the government’s efforts to drive consumer spending, Choong said.
Maybank and Public Bank are among the banking stocks expected to be in the forefront because the banking groups are likely to give good visible dividend yields, he said.
However, the potential of rising inflation might impact private consumption, raising concerns among public, especially on the back of slowdown of the US economy and higher cost of living, he added.
Despite assumption that the US economy is going for soft landing and not recession, which will benefit the Asian economy including Malaysia, investors have continued to adopt a defensive approach towards the local bourse, according to Choong.
“We want investors to continue being cautious and be very defensive. Go for stocks with very high earnings visibility and strong dividend yields and cashflow,” he said.
He also said that more than 80 percent of the stocks are considered as
“very defensive”.
Defensive stocks referred to those that remain stable under difficult economic conditions and provide a greater degree of certainty to investors.
Choong said Citigroup has projected the KLCI to be around the 1,600-point level by year-end.
Saturday, January 05, 2008
KLCI likely to undergo brief consolidation
By S.N.LOCK
The KLCI's technical pullback over the first three trading days hit its intra-day low of 1,431.69 on Thursday, staging a successful re-test of this column's envisaged support zone (1,409 to 1,443 levels).
Subsequent sharp technical rally took the KLCI to a all-time historical high of 1,467.78 yesterday, moving into the confines of this column's envisaged resistance zone (1,451 to 1,485 levels).
Chartwise, the KLCI continued to stay decisively above its downside support (see KLCI's monthly chart - A1:A2). It closed at a new all-time historical closing high of 1,466.67 yesterday.
The KLCI's daily trend staged a successful re-test of its immediate downside parallel support trendline (see KLCI's daily chart - B5:B6). It is staging a re-challenge of its overhead parallel resistance trendline (B7:B8).
The KLCI's daily, weekly and monthly fast MACDs (moving average convergence divergence) continued to stay above their respective slow MACDs. The bullish configuration of the KLCI's three time-frame MACDs will continue to drive the KLCI onto higher technical levels.
The KLCI's 14-day RSI stayed at 68.59 per cent level yeterday. Its 14-week and 14-month RSI stayed at 65.72 and 78.27 per cent levels respectively.
Last week, this column commented on the possibility of ending the year with a bang. It did. The KLCI hit a new all-time historical high of 1,452.57 on December 31, replacing its previous historical high of 1,449.70.
Following the sharp technical rally yesterday, the KLCI is likely to pause for a brief consolidation before resuming its prior technical rally. It has an even chance of staging a re-challenge of 1,490. Second liners are likely to come under some buying support.
Wednesday, December 19, 2007
KL shares down for 5th straight day
MALAYSIAN share prices extended their losses for the fifth consecutive day today amid an overnight slump on Wall Street and continued concerns over the US economy.
At close, the Kuala Lumpur Composite Index (KLCI) declined 6.16 points or 0.44 per cent to 1,385.45 after opening 3.79 points lower at 1,387.82.
Property, construction and finance counters led the fall in the local bourse today, which touched an intra-day day low of 1,382.44, or down 9.17 points, dealers said.
There were some eleventh hour bargain-hunting in the lower liners but not sufficient to lift the overall bearish market, said one dealer.
On Wall Street, the Dow Jones Index fell for the second consecutive day overnight by 172.65 points to 13,167.2. Last Friday, it dropped 178 points.
The latest sell-off was triggered by renewed concern on the US economic growth on the back of uncertainty over the magnitude of subprime losses, financial impact on mortgage lenders, repricing of credit risk, sky-high crude oil price and weaker consumer spending, according to SBB Securities.
“Given the high degree of uncertainty, we doubt investors would stray too far from the sidelines, at least for now. The local bourse will likely take its cue from the US and regional market,” it said in its research report.
Immediate support and resistance has been put at 1,370 and 1,400 respectively.
The industrial and technology indices bucked the market trend today.
The Industrial Index jumped 14.77 points to 2,898.35 and the Technology Index perked 0.10 of a point to 2318. The Finance Index, meanwhile, fell 59.92 points to 10,556.6.
The FBMEmas dropped 46.42 points to 9,396.3 and the FBM30 went down 45.82 points to 8,945.94.
The FBM2BRD shed 9.44 points to 6,618.24 and the FBM-MDQ was 30.25 points lower at 5,872.34. Decliners led advancers by 440 to 319 while 351 counters were unchanged, 302 untraded and 26 suspended.
Volume amounted to 779.655 million shares worth RM1.611 billion, up from 719.414 million shares worth RM1.411 billion traded yesterday.
*Wait wait and wait! Den its time to go in! hehe..
Saturday, December 08, 2007
KL Composite Index hit another all-time high of 1,440.39 points
THE benchmark KL Composite Index hit another all-time high of 1,440.39 points on Thursday.
While this means that blue-chip counters have done well, many mid-cap, small-cap and fledgling stocks are still languishing in the market, attracting little investor interest.
This lack of a broad-based rally has been attributed mainly to retail participation having dried up in the market or is still there but pretty cautious, depending on who you talk with.
The culprit for this is widely felt to be the drop in the market from 1,283.47 points on Feb 23 to 1,110.69 on March 5, and the fall from 1,392.18 points on July 24 to 1,192.55 on Aug 17, sparked by the subprime woes in the US that caught out many retail investors.
To jog the memory, February's drop was sparked by the widespread but short-lived Shanghai contagion.
Thus, retail investors have become understandably cautious. They could be “locked up” in stale bulls from the February or July market dips and did not have the funds to participate in the market.
“Too low to sell out or not high enough to cash out,” said a chartist.
The market needs to attract retail investors, which is essential to a healthy stock market and healthy rallies, but they will not be back until it is worthwhile and less risky to do so.
MIMB Investment Bank head of research Pong Teng Siew believes that apart from some losing money during the two major dips this year, retail investors are becoming more perceptive of the market than before.
“Retail investors are more perceptive now and they can see market rally is more focused, so they are investing more cautiously,” he said.
Pong said he would ideally like to see a gradual and predictable rise in prices of counters rather than them shooting up in a short time maybe past valuations and then falling suddenly.
“I hate to see investors lose money. I would like counters to have sustainable growth in a predictable way.”
He also said the stock market should not rise in a way that was out of step with economic growth and beyond what could be sustained by domestic investors.
In the current market, Pong suggested a stock picking on key counters, as the rally was at present much more focused.
A broad-based rally was always preferable to a focused rally as it benefited a wider base of investors and encouraged participation in the market, he added.
Another analyst said for there to be a broad-based rally in the market, there had to be liquidity both from foreign and domestic sources, but no one was sure when this would happen.
With the US market “climbing a wall of worry” that included subprime issues, high oil prices and worrying economic data, liquidity was unlikely to flow into global markets in the short to medium term, he said.
There is also the issue of investors everywhere finding it better not to have a position before the upcoming Dec 11 Federal Reserve committee meeting.
Sunday, December 02, 2007
Is KLCI going to regain next week?
STRONG gains on Wall Street and the trading of the world's largest plantation group, Sime Darby Bhd, drove the Kuala Lumpur Composite Index (KLCI) sharply higher yesterday, briefly breaching its major psychological resistance of 1,400.
The KLCI gapped up in the opening trade on Monday before closing at 1,364.37, giving a day-on-day gain of 10.82 points, or 0.80 per cent.
The KLCI staged a late rebound on Tuesday to close at 1,364.99, giving a day-on-day gain of 0.62 point, or 0.05 per cent.
Sentiment was firm on Wednesday as the KLCI closed at 1,366.58 points, giving a day-on-day gain of 1.59 points, or 0.12 per cent.
The next day, share continued to rise pushing the KLCI to close at 1,374.32, giving a day-on-day gain of 7.74 points, or 0.57 per cent.
Trading of Sime Darby led the KLCI yesterday to briefly breached its major psychological resistance of 1,400. The KLCI finished the week at 1,396.98, recording a day-on-day gain of 22.66 points, or 1.65 per cent.
The KLCI rebounded to close at 1,396.98 yesterday, posting a week-on-week gain of 43.43 points, or 3.21 per cent.
The FTSE Bursa Malaysia Second Board Index fell 131.68 points, or 1.93 per cent, to 6,699.01, while the FTSE Bursa Malaysia Mesdaq Index lost 269.09 points, or 4.35 per cent, to 5,912.80 level.
Following are the readings of some of its technical indicators.
Moving Averages: The KLCI stayed above its 10-, 20-, 30-, 50-, 100- and 2000-day moving averages after the sharp technical rebound yesterday.
Momentum Index: Its short-term momentum index staged a successful re-penetration of its neutral reference line.
On Balance Volume: Its short-term OBV trend continued to stay above its 10-day exponential moving averages.
Relative Strength Index: Its 14-day RSI stood at the 59.57 per cent level yesterday.
Outlook
The KLCI touched its intra-week high of 1,408.32 yesterday, breaching this column's envisaged resistance zone (1,357 to 1,387 levels). Chartwise, the KLCI rose after the successful re-test of its immediate downside support (See KLCI's monthly chart - A3:A4).
The KLCI's rise bounced off the support of its immediate parallel trendline support (See KLCI's daily chart - B3:B4) towards its immediate overhead resistance (B5:B6).
The KLCI's daily fast Mmoving Average Convergence/Divergence (MACD) indicator staged a "golden cross" of its daily slow MACD yesterday.
Its monthly fast MACD continued to stay above its monthly slow MACD.
The KLCI's 14-day RSI stayed at 59.57 per cent level yesterday. Its 14-week and 14-month RSI stayed at 59.67 and 75.05 per cent levels respectively.
Following the gains on Wall Street and regional markets, the KLCI has managed to regain its momentum to stage another technical re-challenge of its major psychological resistance of 1,400.
The KLCI will gyrate around its major psychological resistance/support of 1,400.
Next week, the KLCI's overhead resistance hovers between 1,400 and 1,434 points, while its downside support lies between 1,359 ans 1,393 points.
The subject expressed above is based purely on technical analysis and opinions of the writer. It is not a solicitation to buy or sell.
