Air Asia is betting high, take note share holders

By Biz Times

AIRASIA, the region's biggest budget carrier, is making a risky bet.

As soaring fuel prices have forced other airlines to cut back, shed jobs and ground planes, AirAsia is doing the opposite: increasing flights, adding routes and boosting capital investment.
Last month, it even gave away a million free seats (although passengers still had to pay taxes and fuel surcharges). The seven-year-old company is aiming to fill the vacuum as other airlines reduce capacity, betting that more travellers will opt for budget flights amid a global economic downturn.

Analysts say if it survives the industry slump, AirAsia could come out a winner with increased customer loyalty and a strong route network to catch the growth wave when good times return.
"They are reasonably well-positioned for the long run, but there's always a trade-off. It's a long-term decision, which will cause some short-term pain," said Damien Horth, Asia transport analyst at UBS AG in Hong Kong.

Of course, the strategy could also backfire badly.

Last month, AirAsia reported a 95 per cent plunge in its net profit for April-June quarter to RM9.42 million. But the company chalked that up mostly to a RM77 million foreign exchange loss from a weakened ringgit, not weakness in its underlying business.
Average load factor - the percentage of seats taken up in an airplane - dipped to a still relatively strong 76 per cent, from 80 per cent in 2007.

It has a cash reserve of about RM1 billion, but outstanding debts stand at RM5.4 billion, giving it a net debt position of RM4.4 billion. Debts are set to grow as it receives new planes.

Chris Eng, analyst with OSK Securities in Malaysia, said AirAsia's growth prospects may be curbed, while its joint ventures in Thailand and Indonesia are expected to remain in the red.
"It will be challenging but we believe AirAsia can survive," Eng said, citing its efficient regional network and good cost control.

EPF Malaysia is the eighth largest fund in the world

By Biz Star

Malaysia’s national pension fund, the Employees Provident Fund (EPF), was ranked the eight largest fund of its kind in the world with US$94.66bil.

This is according to the latest Watson Wyatt Global 300 survey conducted with Pensions & Investments, a US investment newspaper.

The list included the country’s Pension Trust Fund (KWAP), at 22nd spot with US$14.55bil.
Watson Wyatt Asia-Pacific investment consulting head Naomi Denning said in a statement that Asia-Pacific sovereign pension funds grew by about 20% to US$1.8 trillion in 2007.

“Sovereign pension funds in this region have seen tremendous growth in recent years, along with the rapid growth in assets of sovereign wealth funds,” she said.

She added that strong equity returns last year contributed to the boost in asset growth.
Denning said that among sovereign pension funds ex-Japan, funds that enjoyed growth of more than 30% from the previous year included China’s National Social Security Fund (up to 38th position from 69th), India’s Employees Provident Fund(from 88th to 68th), Singapore’s Central Provident Fund (from 32nd to 22nd) and Thailand’s Government Pension Fund (from 285th to 241st).

Booming of Setapak Jaya's property?

By Biz Star

Developer plans Plaza Crystalville project

PROPERTY developer Crystalville Sdn Bhd, which already has a number of projects within Sri Hartamas, aims to turn Setapak into a vibrant business hub with the development of Plaza Crystalville @ Setapak.

Comprising four blocks of three-storey shop offices, the development is targeted at business operators rather than conventional purchasers, said chairman Datuk Azman Mahmood. “The principle is to have the Sri Hartamas lifestyle in Setapak. We hope to get buyers who are owner-operators rather than investors because the former will move in and start businesses there and make the area more vibrant,” he told Starbiz.

“There is a tendency for investors to purchase the property but not move in. We want the area to be buzzing with commercial activities to make the place more attractive.” Built on 7.5 acres of leasehold land, Plaza Crystalville @ Setapak will comprise 52 shop office units with a starting price of RM1.4mil each. The development will also have 400 parking bays.

Plaza Crystalville @ Setapak is located at Jalan Genting Klang, intersecting Jalan Langkawi and Jalan Taman Ibukota. It is accessible from the Kuala Lumpur city centre via North-South Expressway and Middle Ring Road 2.

The project has a gross development value (GDV) of about RM100mil. Construction will begin next month and the project is slated for completion by end 2010.

To date, about 54% of the shop offices have been taken up since its launch in June. Azman said he was confident of a full take-up by October. “Thus far, about 97% of purchasers comprise restaurateurs and other business operators. “Although construction costs have gone up 18% and 25% in the past few months, we are not increasing the price of the shop offices,” he said.
Azman added that Setapak was an up and coming location and could be the “next Sri Hartamas”.
“Lots of amenities such as hypermarkets and departmental stores like Parkson and Tesco are coming up in Setapak. There is even a medical centre there. Plaza Crystalville @ Setapak will definitely add value to the area,” he said.

On another note, the company is confident of a full take-up for Phase 4 of its Subang Alam residential development project by year-end. The development, which has a GDV of about RM35mil, comprises 30 units of two-storey semi-dees and five units of two-storey bungalows.
Since having a private launch last month, almost 40% of Phase 4 has already been snapped up. Azman said two of the bungalows had also been booked.

Subang Alam is located in Taman Bunga Raya, which is within the fringe of Subang Jaya/USJ and Shah Alam. It is accessible via all the major highways.

Azman said the majority of purchasers were from the USJ area.

Prices of the semi-detached homes begin at RM960,000 while the prices of the bungalows start from RM1.1mil.

The Subang Alam project is being developed by Subang Alam Sdn Bhd. Crystalville and Subang Alam have common shareholders.

Crystalville specialises in shop office development while Subang Alam’s core business is in residential projects.

Lafarge to pay RM700m in dividends? A worth while stock?

By Biz Times

Higher cash dividends, special cash dividends and capital repayment by the cement producer cannot be ruled out over the next 12 months, say analysts
LAFARGE Malayan Cement Bhd (LMC), the country's largest cement producer, may pay up to RM700 million in special dividends within the next 12 months, analysts say.

"We have not factored any special cash distribution in our model, but do not completely rule out the exercise over the next 12 months," Nik-hadi Nik-mahmood, an equity analyst at Deutsche Bank, wrote in a report this week.

Such a move would be a boon to shareholders as LMC returned some RM125 million through dividend payments in its last financial year, including a 20-sen regular cash dividend paid in May.

The total payout came to about 43 per cent of LMC's net profit of RM287.82 million in 2007, a tad higher than its five-year dividend growth of 31.95 per cent.

UBS Warburg, which has a RM5 price target on LMC, expects the share price to be re-rated once there is further clarity of its capital management initiatives.
These would include higher cash dividends, special cash dividends and capital repayment.
LMC, some 62 per cent owned by the world's biggest cement producer Lafarge SA, is banking on a share placement exercise to raise fresh capital.

As at December 31 2007, LMC had about RM115 million in cash.
If the company does take the capital repayment route, it will be following in the footsteps of several foreign-controlled public-listed companies in Malaysia, such as Telenor ASA with DiGi.Com Bhd and Jardine Cycle & Carriage Ltd with Cycle & Carriage Bintang Bhd.
LMC has until the end of the year to comply with a rule by the Foreign Investment Committee whereby it will carry out a special issue of 161.88 million new shares to selected Bumiputera investors.

Analysts said the exercise could raise as much as RM800 million, with some RM100 million to be used for expansion, leaving the door open for a special dividend payment in the future.
"There is scope for a cash repayment of up to 82 sen a share. The Bumiputera shareholding spread requirement deadline is the catalyst for the exercise. The management plans to maximise dividend payments after meeting its capex (capital expenditure) and working capital requirements," Nik-hadi wrote in his report.

LMC's current dividend yield and price-to-earnings (PER) ratio are also pull factors, Kim Eng Research contends.

"Valuations are very decent and dividend yield is an attractive six per cent. It is trading at a PER ratio of 10 times, which by historical standards is low," Kim Eng's Yew Chee Yoon wrote in a report last week.

Air Asia: People will still want to fly

By Biz Times

BUDGET carrier AirAsia Bhd expects to resolve any outstanding issues it has over the Low-Cost Carrier Terminal (LCCT) charges in two weeks.Group chief executive officer Datuk Seri Tony Fernandes said he met with Malaysia Airports Holdings Bhd (MAHB) managing director Datuk Seri Bashir Ahmad on Monday to discuss the amount it owes the airport operator."I am optimistic that we can resolve this because it was a meeting of minds... the issue with MAHB is coming to an end," he said, but did not elaborate.Fernandes was speaking to reporters at the inaugural session of investPenang's "The CEO Speaks" series in Penang yesterday.

Fernandes presented a talk on "Branding: Jazzing Up Your Business", which was launched by Penang Chief Minister Lim Guan Eng.AirAsia is disputing the amount it owes MAHB because it believes that charges at the LCCT should be lower than the KL International Airport's main terminal.It was reported that the actual amount accumulated since 2002 varies from the RM60 million mentioned in some reports to up to RM110 million as reported in Parliament.The matter was reported to have been brought to the Finance Ministry to resolve."It is a bonus for us to clear that," Fernandes said, adding that the low-cost carrier business is a new one and therefore took a little longer for various parties to understand its operating concept.

Asked whether AirAsia is planning to settle its debts with MAHB, Fernandes said: "We have resolved whatever historical issues which are outstanding and will need further discussions on the future."On the business outlook for AirAsia amid rising fuel costs, Fernandes said: "Despite 24 airlines around the world going bust, I am optimistic that people will still want to fly and we will continue doing what we are doing and ride through the storm."

AirAsia jumps most in 3 years

By Biz Times

AIRASIA Bhd, Southeast Asia’s largest low-cost carrier, jumped the most in more than three years in Kuala Lumpur trading, leading airlines higher, after the price of oil fell to a six-week low.The carrier rose 8.7 per cent to RM1 at 1.30 pm. Qantas Airways Ltd gained 5.6 per cent to A$3.58 in Sydney. China Southern Airlines Co, Asia’s biggest carrier by passenger numbers, surged 10 per cent to HK$3.43 in Hong Kong.Oil fell to US$127.95 a barrel yesterday in New York, down almost US$20 from July 14’s record close, on forecasts that Hurricane Dolly would miss oilfields in the Gulf of Mexico. Lower oil prices help airlines by cutting the cost of jet fuel, most Asian carriers’ biggest expense.“The drop in crude oil prices is definitely driving gains in airlines today,” said Um Kyung A, a Seoul-based analyst at Shinyoung Securities Co. “Still, there’s long way to go for airlines to turn profitable.”

Korean Air Lines Co, South Korea’s largest carrier, gained 5.4 per cent to 47,900 won in Seoul. Air New Zealand Ltd rose 7 per cent to NZ$1.23 in Wellington. Malaysian Airline System Bhd, the country’s national carrier, jumped 4.8 per cent to RM3.50 in Kuala Lumpur.In Hong Kong, Cathay Pacific Airways Ltd, the city’s biggest carrier, gained 5.2 per cent to HK$15.48. Air China Ltd, the world’s biggest airline by market value, climbed 5.4 per cent HK$4.49. Singapore Airlines Ltd rose 3.4 per cent to S$15.78 in Singapore.Airlines PlungeAirAsia has plummeted 38 per cent this year amid concerns that a near doubling of jet-fuel prices and a weaker ringgit will crimp earnings. The Bloomberg Asia Pacific Airlines Index, which tracks 17 airline stocks, has plunged 39 per cent.Surging fuel prices have forced airlines across Asia to raise surcharges, cut services and ground planes in a bid to defend profits. Qantas said last week it would axe 1,500 jobs worldwide, cancel plans to hire new staff and ground as many as 22 aircraft. Korean Air expects to post a second-quarter operating loss, president Lee Jong Hee said on July 17.The price of jet fuel rose 0.5 per cent to US$165.20 a barrel yesterday in Singapore. That’s 9.2 per cent lower than July 3’s record close of US$181.85. - Bloomberg

Malaysia's 2008 growth forecast cut to 4.6pc

By Biz Times

THE Malaysian Institute of Economic Research (MIER) has cut its forecast for the country's economic growth to 4.6 per cent from 5.4 per cent this year amid rising inflation and political uncertainties."It is likely that growth which would exceed five per cent in the first half, would deteriorate in the second half of the year as the economy takes the hit from the knock-on effects of higher oil prices and slower growth of our trading partners," said executive director Professor Datuk Mohamed Ariff Abdul Kareem.Speaking at a briefing in Kuala Lumpur yesterday, he warned that the current political instability may put off stock market investors as well as tourists."We are still one of the better economies in the region - comfortable foreign reserves, high savings rate, potential strength of the ringgit, high commodity prices, sound banking system - all support the economy, but if we can do something about the political situation I think the economy can do better than it can."

Domestic demand will be propped up by government spending, which would partly cushion the blow from a faltering global economy.MIER expects the economy to improve next year, expanding by five per cent. However, this could change if a global recession affects commodity prices.Soaring food pries and the rise in global oil prices are weighing heavily on economic prospects."Even with the subsidy cut, the fiscal deficit may reach 3.5 per cent of GDP this year as oil prices have increased further, drastically reducing the savings from the subsidy revision. The government would still have to fork out RM18 billion or more for fuel subsidy due to the subsequent hikes."

Malaysia Banks will be biggest winners: Analysts

By Biz Times

BANKS will emerge the biggest winners from a proposed move to ease customers’ housing loan payments.

Banking analysts contacted yesterday said home financing is a major business for most major banks and extending the loan tenure by even a minimum of one year could bring more income for the banks.

However, not many customers will opt for this “aid” as a longer loan tenure means extra burden.
“As it is, the duration of mortgage loans is usually up until the borrowers are 60 to 65 years old, and by adding an extra five to 10 years to that is undesirable,” one analyst said.

He added that most banks have already put in place a mechanism to help their customers restructure their loans on a case-by-case basis.

One such bank is Malayan Banking Bhd (Maybank), which has welcomed the call by the government for banks to assist borrowers with payment plans.

“Although we have not advertised the additional financial assistance, we have been offering our customers the flexibility to restructure or reschedule their financing on a case-by-case basis to ensure they are able to continue to meet their financial obligations,” said Maybank chief executive officer Datuk Seri Abdul Wahid Omar.

He said the bank will continue to engage with its customers and monitor the current position with a view to providing additional financial advisory services to customers in need of such assistance.

Second Finance Minister Tan Sri Nor Mohamed Yakcop told the Dewan Rakyat on Wednesday that the Finance Ministry is in discussions with banks to reduce the monthly repayments for housing loans to lessen the financial burden of the lower-income group.

Another analyst admitted that such a scheme would most likely attract low-income earners with housing loans of RM100,000 and below.

“This new arrangement can help banks reduce their cost in managing possible non-performing loans by this group of income bracket,” he said